Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.209068 0.235985 0.264483 0.296846 0.332517 0.370575 0.414190
2025-07-20 0.177668 0.214754 0.256267 0.305974 0.363655 0.428259 0.505857
2025-07-27 0.151823 0.194876 0.245455 0.308819 0.385593 0.475099 0.586796
2025-08-03 0.134112 0.181630 0.239894 0.315821 0.411293 0.526446 0.674820
2025-08-10 0.120750 0.171706 0.236645 0.324289 0.438146 0.579587 0.766912
2025-08-17 0.105959 0.157947 0.226698 0.322624 0.451099 0.615125 0.837914
2025-08-24 0.094237 0.146828 0.218816 0.322380 0.464995 0.651621 0.910895
2025-08-31 0.084130 0.136748 0.211167 0.321352 0.477061 0.685509 0.981140
2025-09-07 0.077696 0.131241 0.209242 0.327737 0.499069 0.733060 1.070953
2025-09-14 0.070408 0.123617 0.203450 0.327850 0.511808 0.767978 1.144405
2025-09-21 0.064081 0.116798 0.198166 0.328069 0.524285 0.802559 1.218170
2025-09-28 0.058483 0.110549 0.193151 0.328123 0.536160 0.836335 1.291566
2025-10-05 0.054120 0.106082 0.190787 0.332391 0.554988 0.881582 1.384221
2025-10-12 0.051103 0.103615 0.191399 0.341259 0.581108 0.938388 1.495607
2025-10-19 0.047166 0.099097 0.188225 0.343728 0.597256 0.980822 1.587192
2025-10-26 0.044457 0.096529 0.188088 0.351030 0.621179 1.035647 1.698870
2025-11-02 0.042268 0.094703 0.189037 0.360087 0.648163 1.095927 1.820538
2025-11-09 0.038593 0.089602 0.183779 0.358152 0.657002 1.128251 1.900389
2025-11-16 0.035507 0.085336 0.179655 0.357823 0.668286 1.164562 1.987252
2025-11-23 0.032605 0.081121 0.175269 0.356666 0.677955 1.198420 2.071074
2025-11-30 0.030970 0.079406 0.175435 0.363623 0.701605 1.255332 2.192714
2025-12-07 0.028663 0.075974 0.172011 0.363736 0.713309 1.293064 2.284713
2025-12-14 0.026568 0.072780 0.168791 0.363970 0.725105 1.331159 2.378190